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February 2013

Ex-U.S. official on increased role of Azerbaijan, Europe's energy security, Central Asia and Iran's nuclear issue

The importance of Azerbaijan is rising in the world, David Merkel, senior fellow at the Centre for Transatlantic Relations - John Hopkins University in the U.S. and Former U.S. State Department and National Security Council senior official believes. READ MORE

The Irtysh River in Hydropolitics of Russia, Kazakhstan and China

By Arthur Dunn

China has signed no international-legal documents on transboundary water objects. READ MORE

Kazakhstan Promotes Central Asian Interests Within OIC

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By Richard Weitz

In recent years, Kazakhstan has made an effort to deepen and expand cooperation with the world’s Islamic community. The focus has been on economic and cultural ties, but political and security issues have also been prominent due to the large number of internal and regional conflicts afflicting Muslim majority countries. Toward this end, in 1995, Kazakhstan joined the Organization for Islamic Conference (OIC), which was established in 1969. Kazakhstan then became the first Central Asian country to chair the organization as the rotating head of its Council of Foreign Ministers (CFM) from June 2011 to November 2012. READ MORE

US, Chinese Plans for Rail Links with Central Asia Triggering ‘Railroad War’ and Reducing Russia’s Influence

By Paul Goble

United States plans to link the countries of Central Asia by new rail lines with Afghanistan. At the same time, Washington opposes neither the construction of a railway corridor from Central Asia through Iran, nor Chinese extensions of its national rail system into the area. Nevertheless, according to analysts at the Moscow Strategic Culture Foundation, these overlapping transportation development projects threaten to spark a new “railroad war” in the Central Asian region—one that in the absence of counter-efforts by the Russian Federation is likely to result in a sharp reduction of Moscow’s influence over the countries there. READ MORE

Lithuania Wants to get Free of Energy Hegemony

By Thomas Jarvi

Till 2014 Lithuania intends to build a terminal of condensed natural gas (CNG) in Klaipeda in order to reduce the dependence of supplies from (yet the only source) Russian gas. Meanwhile Russian gas giant Gazprom loses European market rapidly, giving the way to other suppliers, for example, Qatar and is concerned about the issues of terminal construction by Lithuania. READ MORE

Millions Of Pounds Worth Of Military Equipment May Not Return From Afghanistan

More than 40% of Britain's Afghan military equipment may not return to the UK, according to Government exit strategy plans. READ MORE

Being in Munich Tehran Was Invited in Astana

By Andrey Gott

The last chance for peaceful talks to resolve the nuclear issue. READ MORE

Intervention in Mali: First, Do No Harm

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By Maria Prosviryakova

Interviewee: Commodore Steven Jermy RN, former Strategy Director in the British Embassy in Afghanistan READ MORE

Burjanadze may become opposition leader?

Will Nino Burjanadze leave big politics? Can the former opposition leader and one of the most influential Georgian politicians compete with the national hero Bidzina Ivanishvili? Has Burjanadze lost her credibility in the eyes of the public and will she run for the post of the head of the country? The closer the presidential election, the more urgent these issues are. READ MORE

Prime Minister Algirdas Butkevičius in Warsaw: Lithuania and Poland will seek EU support for gas link

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Lithuania and Poland will join forces and turn to the European Commission (EC) to ask for the European Union's (EU) financial support to the projected gas pipeline, Lithuania's Prime Minister Algirdas Butkevičius has said after meeting with his Polish counterpart. READ MORE

Russia Eyes Stronger Economic Engagement with Central Asia

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By Sergei Blagov

Russian authorities reiterated, on January 22, pledges of increased economic engagement with Central Asia. The foreign ministry advocated plans to develop economic and trade ties with the region, while other officials urged the creation of a Russian state corporation that would encourage economic development there (Regnum, January 22). READ MORE

“Black Stalkers” Intensifying in Central Asia

By Alina Kantor

In recent years the number of local conflicts has increased in the world. Total redistribution of property is taking place. Whole countries and peoples are being involved into the game of survival, the main prize of which is resources. This process is accompanied with revolutions and ends as a rule with occurrence of a puppet government. READ MORE

Nuclear triangle in the Baltic Region and energy alternatives

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At the end of the last year the Centre for Geopolitical Studies organised an international conference „Nuclear Energy Triangle: Regional and Global Challenges of Nuclear Power“. The focus during the conference was given to the Lithuanian, Russian and Belarusian NPP projects, their economic feasibility and geopolitical implications.   READ MORE

Lithuania's ties with Poland getting back on track, says foreign minister after apologizing for MPs voting down name-spelling law

Lithuania's Foreign Minister Linas Linkevičius said during a visit in Poland that bilateral dialogue between the two neighboring states was getting "back on track." READ MORE

Washington Shall Chose Stability

By Nikolay Pakhomov

Yet some time ago American political analysts and reporters actively discussed the “Arab Spring” and in these discussions the case was more about that the “Spring: has turned into “winter”, and hopes for rapid establishment in Near East of democracy and the triumph of human rights haven’t come true. Now this discussion is gradually ceasing – it seems that liberal dreamers recognize that there is nothing to hope for. READ MORE

Something About CU

By Mark Rubin

Many countries consider the Customs Union (CU) of Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus as a "plum", the place where you can deliver the goods as well as export raw materials from it. Taking into account the new tariff rates of this "triple" the last option is much more profitable. Integration association that was set up in record short time, learns the lessons of the EU, and therefore, following the beaten track, is developing a tremendous success. READ MORE

Serbia's Dacic Fesses Up To Meeting Suspected Narco Clan

Serbian Prime Minister Ivica Dacic is under fire after acknowledging that he met with a reputed member of a narco clan thought to be led by Serbia's most-wanted fugitive.  READ MORE

''NATO after ISAF – Staying Successful Together''

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Remarks by NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen at the Munich Security Conference. READ MORE

China welcomes Turkish bid for SCO membership

By Sman Erol

Turkey's aspirations for membership in the Russian and Chinese-led Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) might materialize as the organization moves towards admitting new members, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a special talk with Today's Zaman. READ MORE

Hold the line on defence spending, Secretary General urges

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Allies should hold the line on defence spending and look for ways to close the gaps in their capabilities, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said as he launched his second Annual Report on 31 January 2013. READ MORE

Turkey Debates SCO as an Alternative to the EU

By Emrullah Uslu

Turkey–European Union relations were frozen while Cyprus held the rotating EU presidency during the second half of 2012. In those six months, no progress was made in Turkey’s European integration, and very few official visits took place between Turkish and EU delegations. Signifying the tense relationship, in November, ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) deputy, Professor Burhan Kuzu, the head of the parliamentary Constitution Commission, harshly criticized the EU progress report on Turkey. He dramatically threw it into a trashcan on national television to show his government’s disappointment with the EU and with Cyprus’s presidency (CNNTurk, November 11, 2012). READ MORE

VIP-Refugees and the Strategy of Washington

By Оleg Bychkov

Hardly the second Presidential term of Obama shall force the USA to revise radically its line in the issue of desirable (and not really) guests from the CIS states. However, growing activity of Washington in Central Asia region, related with the oncoming withdrawal of the troops from Afghanistan, gives ground to suggest that now the USA hardly shall welcome the persecuted by “criminal power” opposers from the states of this region. Moreover that in the USA, contrary to common views, not at all everybody is delighted with the growing number of VIP-refugees from Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, other post-Soviet republics. According to a number of experts, now American authorities shall less decisively give positive replies for the kind of asylum claimers – it’s too serious challenge for the urgent dialogue with the official power in Astana, Tashkent, other capitals. Too serious is the challenge from the side of Afghanistan for everybody.  READ MORE

The EU doesn’t give ‘certificates’

By Raphael Vassallo

The EU does not give ‘certificates’ of economic health. On the contrary, it merely accepts whatever figures are thrown at it by member States, at face value and without question. READ MORE

Speech by Foreign Minister Westerwelle at the 49th Munich Security Conference

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Mr Vice President,

Distinguished guests,

Dear colleagues,

Ladies and gentlemen, READ MORE

Baptism by Fire of Francois Hollande

By Anton Ramov

The year of 2013 has started with an acute escalation of the situation in Mali. After a military coup in March 2012 the North of the country was captured by Toureg-separatists from the National Liberation Movement of Azawad (NLMA). Having used disorganization and weakness of governmental troops, the rebels proclaimed an independent state of Azawad along the territory, comparable in sizes with France. Already in summer 2012 contradictions between moderate separatists and radical Islamists among rebelled Toureg escalated. As a result the power was transferred to the Islamists from the groupings of  Ansar al-Din (“Faith defenders”) and Al-Qaeda of Islamic Magrheb. READ MORE

Abdumalik Abdullojonov reportedly detained in Ukraine

Ex-Prime Minister of Tajikistan Abdumalik Abdullojonov has reportedly been detained in Ukraine. READ MORE

Canada stuck with career criminal after Iran refuses to take him back

By Steve Mertl

We report occasionally in this space about upstanding people who've been ordered out of Canada on some technicality or other, wringing our hands at the unfairness of it all. READ MORE

Russia denies bullying Ukraine into its customs union

Moscow, which recently slammed Kyiv with a huge gas bill, said Monday (4 February) that an arrangement could be found. A Russian diplomat explained that the deal would not necessarily require Ukraine to join Moscow's proposed Customs Union with Belarus and Kazakhstan.  READ MORE

International Year of Water Cooperation to be inaugurated at UNESCO Headquarters on Feb 11

An opening ceremony of the International Year of Water Cooperation will take place at UNESCO Headquarters in Paris on February 11, reported the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Tajikistan. READ MORE

British EU membership referendum 'dangerous', French FM warns Cameron

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Britain cannot have a Europe à la carte, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius warned on the day that UK Prime Minister David Cameron promised a referendum on European Union (EU) membership if his Conservative Party is reelected to office. READ MORE

Electricity policy in the Baltic States: On the Eve of Decisive Decisions

By Vaiva Sapetkaitė

Several major energy projects are currently implemented in the Baltic Region. However, due to their complex nature and long implementation period the internal changes or changes in the international environment might determine long delays or even termination of project implementation. For instance, the referendum on the Visaginas Nuclear Power Plant (VNPP) left the countries in uncertainty and made them consider alternative ways to ensure energy independence. READ MORE

Kazakh Foreign Minister met with NATO Secretary General

Kazakh Foreign Affairs Minister Yerlan Idrissov met with NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen in Brussels. READ MORE

NATO secretary general visiting Lithuania

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NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen is visiting Lithuania on Friday. READ MORE

Nuclear Weapons and War in 100 Years

By Alexander Savelyev

What role will nuclear arms play in the long-term? And how will they affect future wars? Most likely, in 100 years’ time they will still be in the arsenals. In order to preserve international security, a two-pronged approach should be taken: extending the rigid limitations on military planning at all strategic levels and boosting the nontraditional arms race, primarily in cyber and space-based offensive and defensive systems.  READ MORE

German report on arms exports reveals little

Critics says the government's report on arms exports lacks transparency: exporting companies are not named, and government sales are merely summarized. Yet the government claims it's in-depth and detailed. READ MORE

The Process Move Forward

By Alina Kantor

It seems that Switzerland seriously has decided to improve its international image by dealing with oligarchs with dark past, claiming to live in comfortable cantons. The Khrapunovs clan is one of the families, trapped under close focus of Geneva prosecutors.  READ MORE